Is the Fed’s Independence Fading?

Is the Fed’s Independence Fading?

When Jerome Powell took over as chair of the Federal Reserve on February 5, 2018, he had certainly imagined a calmer final phase to his now almost eight-year presidency. When the top monetary policymaker’s second term ends on May 15, 2026, the trained lawyer...
Is the Fed’s Independence Fading?

The elephant in the room: The US debt burden

As part of our «Investment Summit» roadshow at the beginning of 2025, we pointed out a risk for capital markets that both the stock market and politicians were not yet paying the necessary attention to at the time: the escalating debt of the USA. Today, the topic has...
Is the Fed’s Independence Fading?

Bond markets as a corrective force?

Donald Trump is keeping capital markets around the world on their toes. Since his inauguration on January 20, 2025, the Nasdaq temporarily lost over 23 percentage points, the US dollar has slumped from EUR 0.96 to EUR 0.86, the WTI oil price has fallen from over USD...
Is the Fed’s Independence Fading?

Capital Allocation, Goodwill and Management Quality

The value event investment philosophy developed by Dr Uwe Rathausky and Henrik Muhle combines two successful investment styles. For the two ‘Fund Managers of the Year 2024’, value investing means avoiding fundamental risks by buying companies with very high business...
Is the Fed’s Independence Fading?

The wave of bankruptcies has started

Global equity markets have shown impressive strength over the past months, with surprisingly low volatility. One of the longest trading periods without a 5 percent daily drawdown ended on 5th of August 2024. When the stock market opened, the Nasdaq lost 900 points or...
Is the Fed’s Independence Fading?

Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

Capital markets are sometimes prone to exaggeration. Aggressively marketed new business models regularly fuel the imagination of investors. As in the case of Peloton. Hopes of a revolution in the global fitness market caused the manufacturer of spinning bikes to soar...
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