Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

Capital markets are sometimes prone to exaggeration. Aggressively marketed new business models regularly fuel the imagination of investors. As in the case of Peloton. Hopes of a revolution in the global fitness market caused the manufacturer of spinning bikes to soar...
Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

The gravitational force of high interest rates

“Interest rates are like gravity in valuations. If interest rates are nothing, values can be almost infinite. If interest rates are extremely high, that’s a huge gravitational pull on values.” In one of his famous quotes in 2016, stock market legend Warren...
Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

A questionable distinction between value and growth stocks

ChatGPT, the AI-employed chatbot, recently responded to the question, “Why is there a distinction between value and growth stocks?” with equal speed and confidence: “Value and growth stocks represent different investment strategies. Value investors...
Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

Constructive management of asset classes

The first half of 2023 was characterized by impressive strength of global equity markets. Despite the ongoing war in Ukraine, interest-rate hikes on a global scale, inflation and recession concerns, the DAX-40 posted a healthy gain of 16 percent. The technology index...
Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

From sticks to hurdles

After a furious start to 2023, the stock market has continued to perform well in recent weeks. Major US technology companies continued their upward trend, in some cases gaining more than 30 percent since the beginning of the year. The most recent reporting season...
Exaggeration based on hope for a new rate-cycle

End to interest rate hikes in sight?

Jerome Powell has stayed the course. Despite the persistent turbulence within the U.S. banking sector, the U.S. Federal Reserve implemented its tenth consecutive interest rate hike this week. Market participants, who had proclaimed an immediate change of course in...
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